What will drive Switch's 20+ million year sales?

[Megiddo]

zorg1000 said:

Faelco said:

I don't think they will reach 20M (or shipped with a lot of stock left), and I guess they know that already. They expected Labo to be a success and to sell hardware until other big games arrive later in the year. Labo isn't doing what they expected, so unless something is a bigger success than expected later they won't make it.

Just to let you know

PS4 sold 175k in April 2016 NPD which was when Sony shipped 20 million for the fiscal year.

Switch sold 171k in April 2018 NPD and Nintendo's forcast is 20 million for the fiscal year.

Right, but wouldn't you say the Switch is much more reliant on North America than the PS4? If my math is accurate from the data on VGchartz, in 2017 Nintendo had 37.2% of Switches sold in the US whereas Sony had 26.3% of PS4s sold in the US.

Taking that data, if you take the same trends for April 2018 for the Switch and April 2016 for the PS4 there would be 460k Switches sold globally and 665k PS4s sold globally. That's a pretty big difference when the two individual NPD totals are so close.