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It may sound crazy, but I was thinking about this. I think it will come down to 3 things:

1- Switch base sales starting on April (new fiscal year, let's see how serious Nintendo is about shipping huge amounts)

2- The Octo expansion impact in Japan

3- Holiday boost

Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won