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EricHiggin on 09 March 2018
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KBG29 said:
thismeintiel said:

Late 2019 would be 6 years, that's hardly rushing into next gen. It's also similar to the strategy they followed with PS1 and the PS2. Didn't stop the PS1 selling 102M and the PS2 from becoming the highest selling console ever. The PS4 is still going to sell a shit ton with a Slim at $149 and a Pro at $249.

The difference is, in the PS1 & PS2 days, six years was enough to make significant gains in what could be accomplished with software. Now we are at a point where even if hardware was progressing the same, diminishing returns make software gains less and less impressive. 

Another thing is, PS1 & PS2 peaked much more quickly, and their successors came well after the peak. PS4 had its best sales last year, and has a great chance to sell even more this year.

PS4 still has plenty of room to grow, and technology has a few years before truly wow worthy next gen software can be achieved. Adding everything up, a PS5 in 2019 doesn't look good from any angle. 

I still think a full 4K PS4 Premium in 2019 is the way to go. Then deliver a true next gen PS5 in 2022.

PS4 Premium can offer 10TFLOPs GPU and a 3.0GHz Jaguar chip with no problem. Add in 16GB of RAM and an SSHD, and you will have a perfect XBO X besting option within the ecosystem.

Then that opens the door for PS5  to be built on AMD's 4th Gen Ryzen tech, and their brand new Next Gen GPU architecture, both on 7nm+ fabrication. It will alloe them to jumo to 32 or 64GB o RAM, and have an M.2 NVMe card in every unit. That will offer an undeniable next gen leap in software that will make PS5 a justifiable upgrade to a much larger audience.

A 2019 PS5 has to be $500+, no question. Late 2019, maybe, but no sooner than that.

If PS is thinking a late 2020 PS5 launch, then there is no point in a PS4 Premium. Now if PS has a hunch that XB is going to stick with a 4 year gap, and launch holiday 2021, then they could very well decide to wait as well, and launching a PS4 Premium would be acceptable in that case, so sometime during early to mid 2019 would make sense to launch mid-mid-gen.

It's even possible that PS is cocky enough again to assume even if XB announces a late 2020 'XB2', that if they immediately announce PS5 is coming 6 to 12 months later, with similar or better specs for $400 or $500 (whatever is competitive), that their customers will stay put with PS4, Pro, and Premium in play. As long as it isn't another PS3 scenario, with exotic, overly expensive tech, they just might be fine with a plan like that.