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I disagree with your statement regarding people who bought Prime because they thought it would be Halo. People bought Prime (and even Gamecubes) because it was Metroid. The fact that it was a GOTY title and had consistent 10/10 scores (and yes, the internet existed then) also helped take this title to the highest charted position for a Metroid title.

And if Prime 4 is anywhere near as good as any of the three Prime titles it will easily sell 3 million, especially if it has a multiplayer battle mode like Echoes.