I think we're probably underestimating Splatoon 2's potential LT sales. The original had great legs, especially in Japan, until it was clear that the Wii U was going nowhere and was on the way out. With the Switch barely a year old and not sign of yearly installations like CoD, Splatoon 2 will be the primary shooter on the Switch and it's a complete monster in Japan. I mean, they already announced a vocaloid-type concert for Pearl and Marina from "Off the Hook." Not to mention that the game is the first home console game since 2010's Wii Party to reach the 2 million sales mark in Japan. Plus, Splatoon 2 still has a few more months of updates and another year of Splatfests that will keep the game in the minds of its playerbase and new Switch owners.
With Horizon, I think MHW will do very well compared to the former, and the former is already doing well, Around 6 million, right? I think MHW will get to 6 million sold (since the 6 million right now appears to be shipped).
With Zelda, I'm not entirely sure. There are people predicting that Zelda (whether it be Switch + Wii U or Switch, alone) could sell around 10 million LT. Does MHW have the legs to reach a mark it has never reached before? Plus, again like Splatoon 2, the Switch is growing in install base so there's more likely of a chance for Zelda to continue selling really well, especially considering how much word of mouth can continue giving the game momentum.
Overall, MHW is doing well for itself and Capcom is to be commended for giving the game a bit of a push in modernization. Hopefully it'll continue to do well.
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