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I think Nintendo doesn't give a shit about any of this stuff, what they want to do is maintain a 2-tier hardware system that they enjoy now with Switch as the expensive/high end hardware option and 3DS being the cheap/low-end system.

3DS will have to be retired at some point.

I think you'll see a "new" higher end Switch around 2020, with the current Switch becoming cheaper and taking over the place of the 3DS. They'll continue to maintain the high end/low end model cycling in out new hardware every few years, most games being compatible on both devices at differing settings.

So 2020 I would guess something like

"Switch Model 2" - $299.99 MSRP (sold at a profit), brings in sales from older gamers who have lots of disposable income and like new hardware, makes it easy for Nintendo to avoid declining hardware sales in year 4/5/6 of the old hardware cycle. 

"Switch Model 1" (the current one) - $179.99 MSRP, brings in sales from the kids/budget market. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 26 January 2018