2017 is not ps4's peak year!

[UltimateGamer1982]

CGI-Quality said:

UltimateGamer1982 said:
I’m inclined to believe 2017 was the peak year and 2018 will see a small decline. PS4 sold 20.2m in 2017. I see it selling less of about 17-19m just on the basis of Switch and the console getting long in the tooth. Same goes for 2019. Probably another 16-17m. Of course I could be wrong but I don’t see it keeping these kind of sales up. The $199 was already used so I don’t think it’ll have that big of an impact the second time. It should have stayed $199 imo. But overall 2018 will still be a very good year for PS4. Of course I could be wrong but I don’t think I am. Feel free to bump this comment this time next year. :)

If Switch was going to have that kind of impact, 2017 would have been the year to do it. Instead, with both the Switch and Xbox One X releases, they had no effect on the PS4 (with the system having its highest sales in a calendar year yet). I expect 2018 to be better to it. God of War and Spider-Man will surely move units and the $199 price drop is likely. No, it was not already used. Temp price cuts don't work like that and a $100 price drop will have a significant impact on system sales, regardless of last holiday.

Of course, a very slight decline is still possible, but it will not be on the terms you proposed.

True but was switch not heavily supply constrained for much of 2017? Nintendo even stated late summer I believe just they were gonna be ramping up production a bit more. It also won several months of npd last year despite the supply shortage. Not to mention the switch had no good deals in America this Christmas and was full price against a $199-$249 PS4 and $189 Xbox S. If memory serves, PS4 also didn’t have any good deals in 2014 other than a gta5 bundle at full price whereas Xbox was heavily discounted with the Assassin creed bundle and beat PS4 handily. 

Personally I see switch having a much better 2018 now that they have a more steady stream of units hitting shelves.