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90% of exclusives don't have any visible effect on console sales.
a few 10k more console sales from exclusives that sold barely a million units? Not noticeable.

There are two types of games that drive console sales. Big exclusives (Mario, Uncharted, Halo) and big multiplats (FIFA, CoD, BF etc.).

Neither Persona 5 nor Quantum Break nor ARMS (to mention games from different systems) has any similar effect.