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Soundwave on 01 January 2018
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Teeqoz said:
thismeintiel said:

It'll be interesting to see how close to, or far away, TLJ comes to ESB. Adjusted for ticket price inflation, ESB made $704M in the US and $1.53B WW, without the greatly expanded markets we have today.

At this point in time, TFA had made 80.1% of its total domestic gross and ~73% of its WW gross. Considering TLJ's foreign take keeps hanging around the same 50% of the total that the domestic take represents, where TFA's foreign take represented 54.7% of it WW revenue, I think 80.1% of its WW take is probably a better case scenario that TLJ can look forward to. That would put the final domestic total  at $690.5M, which is 26% down from TFA, better than the ~30% it's been hovering at, now. However, WW that would be a final total of $1.32B, down $750M or 36% from TFA.

Of course, that's a better (not quite best) case scenario. We'll have to see if TLJ has as much staying power in the coming weeks as TFA had, at least percentage wise. TFA didn't start losing theaters til its 5th weekend. I have a feeling TLJ might start losing some this weekend, it's 4th.

I'll hand you a few points - if TLJ really ends up at 1.3 billion WW, then that will be dissapointing.

I can also say that I agree TLJ's plot wasn't the best, and also that it wasn't an amazing film. It was good though.

There was always going to be a levelling off for Star Wars movies anyway, especially with Disney's insistence on having a new Star Wars movie every year. 

Like what did people think that there would be Episode VIII, IX, X, XI, XII, XIII, XIV and they would all do $1.5 billion-$2 billion in ticket sales? 

In that case your box office top 10 would eventually look like 

1. Star Wars

2. Star Wars

3. Star Wars

4. Star Wars

5. Star Wars

etc. etc. 

A decline/levelling off for Star Wars film was always inevitable. Disney can either have pent up demand by letting the franchise go dormant for 3-10 years like the previous movies have had OR they can a lower $1 billion-ish dollars of ticket sales in their pocket every year, but they can't have it both ways. 

Star Wars is fairly long in the tooth already this is the ninth major movie in the franchise, you are going to have some loss in enthusiasm at some point.