My prediction: PS4 will outsell Switch lifetime

[Ryng]

Teeqoz said:

Ryng_Tolu said:

Yes, with most recent trend, Nintendo console seem to peak during his second or third year, both being very close, it also depend on markets. Europe usually peak later, Japan early, USA is usually closer to Europe but in reality is kinda a mix of the 2.

So i think third and second year will be very close, but if i have to choise a better year, it's probabily gonna be the second one. Then from the 4th year we can expect a consistent decrease every year before the new Nintendo console. Also second year bump is gonna be so high just because first year saw for a lot of time low shipments and no big deal on Black Friday. I expect Nintendo do ship sufficient units for the domand and this time i believe they will have a better November, something like Pokémon bundle or 250$ price promotion for BF seem likely to me.

Idk about 4th year, i predict it will but just barely. 2nd and 3rd are very likely tho.

Out of curiosity, what's your annual breakdown for PS4 sales for the rest of the gen?

It really depend if it release in 2019 or 2020. My bet is 2019, for now.

2018 - 18.0 million
2019 - 11.5 million
2020 - 6.5 million
2021 - 3.0 million
2022 - 1.2 million

If PS5 is 2020, then 2019 will be a 15 million year, and LT numbers will be +120m