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Teeqoz said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
My NSW prediction.

2017 - 14m - 14m
2018 - 25m - 39m
2019 - 24m - 53m
2020 - 20m - 72m
2021 - 16m - 88m
2022 - 14m - 102m
2023 - 7m - 109m / New Nintendo console year
2024 - 3m - 112m
2025 - 1m - 113m

These numbers make quite a bit of sense. Traditionally, the first half of the gen has made up a larger part of total sales for Nintendo than for Sony, so I can see the Switch getting ahead (launches aligned), with the PS4 eventually shrinking the gap, and in the end they'll sell rather close to eachother.

Yes, with most recent trend, Nintendo console seem to peak during his second or third year, both being very close, it also depend on markets. Europe usually peak later, Japan early, USA is usually closer to Europe but in reality is kinda a mix of the 2.

So i think third and second year will be very close, but if i have to choise a better year, it's probabily gonna be the second one. Then from the 4th year we can expect a consistent decrease every year before the new Nintendo console. Also second year bump is gonna be so high just because first year saw for a lot of time low shipments and no big deal on Black Friday. I expect Nintendo do ship sufficient units for the domand and this time i believe they will have a better November, something like Pokémon bundle or 250$ price promotion for BF seem likely to me.

Mar1217 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

Ok.

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...

I predict it will do that easily on it's 2nd/3rd and 4th year !!

Idk about 4th year, i predict it will but just barely. 2nd and 3rd are very likely tho.