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JRPGfan said:

I think hes being overly pessimistic though.... so while his analysis seems well though out his numbers dont really make sense.

He believes by 2020, ps4 will be at 110m unit sold.

That means 2018,2019,2020 = ~30m units only sold across next 3 years.

Hes probably expecting something like 2018 = 13m year, 2019 = 11m year, 2020 = 6m year.

 

Thats too low, imo. Hes too pessimistic.

Watch next year, the PS4 does like 18m again and you ll know his numbers where too low (and he believed lifetime would be 120m).

Assuming PS4 will be 72-75m this year, he expect 35-38m the next 3 years, not 30m