NPD Analyst Expects Over 600,000 Xbox One X Sold this Year; PS4, Xbox One, Switch Could All Win November

[Qwark]

Barkley said:

Qwark said:

The pro did launch in November and you always have a few hardcore buyers. But I was thinking worldwide (probably be close to a million first year WW) and not just in the US. My US numbers for first year estimate are 450k. Mainly because you always have quite a few day one buyers. So there is a good chance XoneX trumps PS4pro in USA.  

That's a really low estimate. Adding up weekly sales for week ending 12th november to 31st december in the US total 2.55m, 20% of which is 510k, so that's already a fair bit above 450k.

Now as you say, you have to take launch into account so the ratio will be higher then the 20% that was given in June 2017. Also an expensive premium console may fair better in the USA compared to other markets, so above the 20% global ratio.

Good point, but I thought the pro had severe supply issues in the US that lasted pretty long. That also explains why the Xone X is already above PS4pro on amazon yearly rankings. However in Europe stock issues where almost never a problem for the PS4 pro and I would think there is also a big market for premium consoles here. But for now I can only count the Japanese ratio for Slim/Pro and that is a bit north of 20%. But my estimate might be a bit low.