PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

[Qwark]

VideoGameAccountant said:

Qwark said:

If Nintendo wants to win this fight they have to sell way more units in Europe and the rest of the PAL region. Because selling better Japan and the USA will only get the Switch so far. Since I doubt China is going to be a huge market for the Switch.

To add some context, the Switch isn't doing bad in the other regions (not US and Japan). When compared to the 3DS, the Switch is up life to date. Historically, Nintendo has not done well in Europe as the company never gained a foothold there (Sega did better in Europe, for instance). The DS actually did really well in Europe and other regions (it sold worse in the US IIRC). At the same time, the Switch may be like the DS and have a surge starting in the second year (which is possible as numerous Japanese third parties are pledging exclusives for the Switch and the system has been able to get a lot of software). 

As an aside, I would look at the number of games being released on the Switch. We are over 200 now (for a system that launched with 6-7). The second year will have a bigger pipeline

But we are not comparing the Switch to the 3DS (which will get outsold this year by the PS4) we are comparing the Switch with the PS4. As of now Switch sells decent in Europe,but the baseline needs to go to 65k in Europe to dominate the world market and beat the PS4. The Wii and the DS both did well in Europe and Nintendo needs numbers comparable to the Wii in Europe to actually beat the PS4 WW. The number of games (that matter for sales) released for Switch is still on the low side compared to the PS4. The line-up for PS4 games 2018 is very promising and third parties aren't very asleep either (except when it comes to Switch support). Now I am not saying Nintendo can't beat the PS4, although I give Sony the edge for now. But whether they will or not will for a huge part be decided by how well they do in Europe.