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Ryng on 13 November 2017
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torok said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

The point is, for the next 3 years Switch is not gonna sell 10% more than PS4. More like 100% to 300% more lol

PS4 is on track to a good 19M this year. Even with a big drop, PS4 would safely do 15M next year. Let's say 12 and 9 in the next 2 years, totaling 36M. And that's actually pretty, pretty low. So you're saying that in the same time frame the Switch would do between 72M (100% more) and 144M (300%)?

That's an average between 24M and 48M per year. The Wii had a peak year of 24M, the PS2 had 21M. To have an average equal to Wii's best the Switch would probably have to peak at 30M. Either that or you're predicting PS4 sales to fall from a cliff.

 

Kyuu said:
RolStoppable said:

I don't think there will be much demand to play old games on a handheld and at the same time it's hard to imagine that Sony or third parties would make new games for a portable PS4. Being more powerful than Switch isn't going to be a real selling point either, because that's what every competitor of Nintendo has done in the handheld market. So a portable PS4 is unlikely to have a significant impact on Switch sales.

Assuming that Nintendo goes bonkers and cuts the Switch's life short, then sure, that will have a significant impact on lifetime sales. Placing a bet on the timing of stupidity is very random though. Stupidity on Nintendo's part can't be ruled out, I'll give you that.

Sony and third parties wouldn't have to develop games for it specifically, since it's practically a PS4 SKU much like the Pro, except with the ability to use it on the go. The downside is that it won't have a Bluray drive. Sony will need to convince third parties to patch their games down to 720p in order to shrink file size. And I know it would have little to no effect on Switch performance, but it makes you wonder how much it helps PS4 sales, especially in Japan.

Ryng_Tolu said:

The point is, for the next 3 years Switch is not gonna sell 10% more than PS4. More like 100% to 300% more lol

You're a funny man Ryng. Not like this is the first or second time you get too excited with your predictions. Nothing guarantees Switch outselling PS4 next year, let alone by 100% to 300% Unless you mean the accumulated sales of the three next years which makes your prediction slightly less silly , assuming PS4 does arrive in 2019 or early 2020.

I already explained what i mean, don't know how people still don't understand.

That user was talking about weekly sales, not yearly sales. My point is that, for the next 3 years, there are gonna be A LOT of weeks where Switch sells double or quadruple than PS4, and of course 2018 and 2020 will be very difference, 2018 will see some x2 weeks, 2020 will see many others x4 or x5 weeks.

Overall, i never said YEARLY sales will be double or quadruple. For 2018, just for be clear, i expect 25 million Switch and 18 million units PS4, so nothing close to double.