fatslob-:O said:
Easily PS4 ...
If we take a look at their first calendar year of shipments (Which means that we're going so far as to exclude PS4's first quarter!) the Switch already can't match the PS4 with the former expected to ship ~14.5M units at the end of this year while the latter shipped ~15.5M units in it's first full calendar year ...
What's more is Nintendo is only expecting the Switch to be upto par with 3DS in terms of shipments in similar timeframes and especially in a similar period where PS4 arguably had less incentives to be purchased in comparison to the Switch when most of it's AAA games were cross-gen titles where the said games already had abundant access to existing userbases ...
Once Nintendo releases the rest of their flagship franchises such as 2D Mario, Animal Crossing, Pokemon and Smash Bros it will become substantially harder to move hardware ...
I cannot envision a scenario where Switch will be able to have more than 4 strong years of hardware sales without the use of new IPs or the growth of existing IPs like we saw with the DS while in PS4's 5th calendar year in which there's a possibility where it could ship about 85% of what it did this year and the in it's 6th calendar year it could still have a relatively strong showing ...
In spite of the fact that the Switch has had stronger releases than it's predecessor, it is only expected to match it's predecessor first fiscal year in the given similar timeframes, probably still can't match the PS4 in it's first year and then there's a high chance that hardware revisions won't be as plentiful for the Switch in comparison to it's predecessors ...
Nevermind the idea of Switch beating the PS4, it has to first show that it can at least match it!
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It's already matching the PS4, week for week in the Launch-aligned sales. The PS4 build up a lead due to having had a holiday season while the Switch didn't just yet. The PS4 had it's biggest advantage against the Switch at week 20, with a 2.1 Million lead, but that one has dropped during summer to 1.8 already in Week 29 and with the incoming holiday season, it will surpass the PS4 until the latter has it's second holiday season
And despite this being the PS4s best year to date, The Switch still steals it's show in the US and in Japan, with just Europe keeping the PS4 ahead of the Switch. So I really don't see where you ge that Switch has to match the PS4 first, as it's already doing so on all levels
