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sc94597 said:

There is no evidence that the saturation of 3D Mario titles is greater than 15 million.

And where is the evidence to say the peack is 15 million?

Because all of what you are saying is basically:

"Mario 3D never sold over 15m, so this game won't sell over 15m, even if right now Mario Odyssey is selling way better than Galaxy, but this doesn't mean it will sell better overall"

Well excuse me, that's not really a good argument if you want my opinion. But i guess we'll see.

So far, evidence show that Mario Odyssey SHOULD easy surpass 15 million, as is doing better than any other 3D Mario.