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It really depends. I think Galaxy 1 could have sold more had 2 not come out. If Nintendo makes an SMO2 (which is logical since they can use the same engine as SMO1) and it releases on the Switch, I can see that canabolizing SMO1 sales. If, however, SMO2 comes out on Switch 2, (or whatever they call the next 3d mario and console device), then I could see SMO going over 15, maybe 20 million.

We are in a weird world right now because the 3ds is getting a longer than usual lifespan than most handhelds and the Switch may get a longer than normal lifespan as well, especially if the next handheld is the Switch just smaller. If this is a 7-8 year device, and they don't canabolize with a sequel on the Switch 1, 20 million is doable I think. If, however, Switch 2 comes out in roughly 5 years, and a new Mario games is out on that device, no way is 20 million happening. Then again, I could be wrong. Do past 3d mario games tend to sell considerably less after the next ones are out?