| killeryoshis said: I predicted the same numbers in April. However when I wrote that I was thinking it was too high. You are way more confident than I was. That's some mighty prediction power right there. |
This prediction was very solid, but rememb.
There was a big difference between April and January.
In April it was still bold for many people, expecially because Nintendo only expected 12.74 million lifetime by March 2017. Even so, we saw a super strong launch, some record sales breaks, and Switch was doing very well in general.
In January it was way difference than that. Not only in January, BUT in January 13, so just after the conference. It was so doom for 90% of people. Many user were saying Switch could have sold less than the Wii U. Or in some case only 20/30 million lifetime. Many other were saying 50 million was already hard to reach lifetime. And 15 million only for the first year, at the time, was super crazy for people.
That said, even if there is a big difference between January and April, even in April 15 million was way too high for almost everyone, so you still did a very good job.
