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StarDoor said:
celador said:

up to 45m

Oh, that low? That doesn't rule out Switch beating PS4 worldwide, though.

PS4:
NA: 40M
EUR: 45M
JPN: 13M
RoW: 22M
WW: 120M

Switch:
NA: 45M (Wii, 2nd)
EUR: 34M (Wii, 3rd)
JPN: 32M (GB, 2nd)
RoW: 10M (Wii, 2nd)
WW: 121M

Multiple Nintendo consoles have reached the required numbers in all regions. It's not impossible, just unlikely.

I think it will be pretty close in the end, certainly closer than I thought initially. I think your predictions might be slightly too high for NA and EU, but certainly Japan is going to be a big equalizer for the Switch