PS5 Will Release Early 2019 (Opinion)

[EricHiggin]

GribbleGrunger said:

Radek said:

http://wccftech.com/amd-navi-gpu-launching-siggraph-2018-monolithic-mcm-die-yields-explored/

I agree about 2019, but for Holidays Season which is also gonna be Playstation's 25th Anniversary.

10 Tflops Mid-Range Navi GPU and Ryzen CPU on the APU?

The reason I say early (I did actually mean to include 'mid') is because MS wouldn't dare risk releasing any sooner than late 2019, and even that would be a huge risk. Sony could easily take a good 6 - 8 months lead, or even longer, depending on whether MS takes that risk. Sony couldn't possibly know whether they would so to make certain of a lead they could release sooner than people (and MS) think. Just my opinion though.

By announcing a year early and launching a year later, with stronger hardware, XB brand is letting itself know how that type of "next gen" launch should go if they tried it. Depending on what happens with XB1X, I would assume XB uses that to plan how to launch the next console. If XB1X does good or great, then XB knows they can announce a year early and spoil the PS4 Premium/PS5 by saying we have a stronger box coming next year. If XB1X goes poorly, then XB will most likely have no problem launching another console late 2019/2020.

They can't use the 360 launch early plan this time around, because a new XB launch before holiday 2019 would be console suicide. Their only options at this time are to try and compete head to head like the 2013 launch, which didn't go well for XB, or launch later with better hardware but make sure everyone knows ahead of time, or they have to try the NiN thing and launch years apart from PS to make sure there is as little comparison as possible, to try and do their own thing and keep PS at bay. 

As long as PS doesn't get greedy, going head to head with them is not the best idea unless XB is willing to give away the farm. Launching later with better hardware, or giving XB1X another full 4 years, are the only two options that make any sense to me. The problem with a full 4 year wait, is that if PS launched PS5 late 2019, that could mean PS5 Pro late 2022, 1 year after the new XB. PS could always turn around and use the early announcement of PS5 Pro to try and get customers to wait a year, just like XB did with the XB1X (most people would know a Pro was probably coming anyway).

That all being said, I think if PS5 launches mid to late 2019, then the next XB needs to launch no later than late 2020. The best XB can hope for, is that PS gets greedy and tries to extend the PS4 as long as possible, allowing the next XB to launch first. A new XB with a reasonable price launching well before PS5 late 2019/2020, could cost PS5 some sales. Regardless, XB needs more worthwhile exclusives. They can try and play the hardware game all they like, but lacking what PS has, is going to always mean that XB simply compete's toe to toe with PS at best, but never ends up ahead.