I actually don't think for *sales* purposes Odyessy > 3D Land is necessarily a thing. I think Japan prefers the 3D Land style of more linear Mario than open-world Mario.
3D Land outsold Mario 64 and Mario Sunshine in Japan easily. MK8D > MK7 is misleading also, MK7 being a new MK will crush sales of MK8D in Japan.
The holiday lineup for Switch in Japan isn't *that* great. Odyessy is an open world Mario, but that isn't really mega popular in Japan, while Xenoblade is really a C-tier Nintendo IP. Fire Emblem Warriors is alright, but it's a Musuo game, not a real Fire Emblem so that limits it.
Splatoon 2 is going to have to do a lot of the heavier lifting I think through the holiday.







