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Soundwave on 20 September 2017
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StarDoor said:
Soundwave said:
I'd say actually it's quite possible even with more stock the 3DS outsells the Switch during its first holiday in Japan.

3DS has a better line up ... Mario 3D Land + Mario Kart 7 + Monster Hunter > Mario Odyessy + Xenoblade.

Setting aside the fact that we have no way to verify this, since Switch will have a vastly lower amount of stock than 3DS and will undoubtedly sell less:

Why do you think that only games releasing during the holiday season contribute to holiday sales? Aren't you a Nintendo fan? You should know that Nintendo games continue to sell and hold up the hardware baseline long after release.

Switch has Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, Super Mario Odyssey, Splatoon 2, and Breath of the Wild. That lineup absolutely crushes what 3DS had in its first year. Not only are its analogues far superior (MK8D > MK7, Odyssey > 3D Land, BotW > Ocarina 3D), but Switch has Splatoon, which is becoming the next phenomenon in Japan.

There's no question that Switch would sell more than 3DS over the holidays if it had enough stock.

I don't neccessarily agree with that. 3DS is no push over in Japan, it may have underperformed in US/EU ... but don't get it twisted, 3DS ripped shit up in Japan, being the third best selling system there ever. It's not some magical given that the Switch will outperform it even with adequete stock. 

3DS has outsold every Nintendo home console and Sony system in Japan by a country mile.