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~15 million in ~9 months for 2017. Implies 20m pretty easily doable next year. Price cuts, more people than DS/Wii era, more people willing to buy multiple systems because it is portable. I'd go 125m by end of 2022, not by March 2022, but it's not crazy. Will beat Wii in Japan, has a good shot at beating Wii in the US without DS/X360 existing as successful platforms co-currently for most of its life. Also can't have its legs cut out from under it by both Microsoft & Sony - not expecting a portable/console hybrid from Microsoft AND Sony - ala Kinect & Move. Possible from Sony eventually, but they may not have the stomach after the PSP->Vita fall off. The Wii was a motion monopoly from 2006-2010 and then had two competitors after, so it fell off. Switch has maybe one competitor down the line. Switch is a blend of Wii/DS if you imagine PSP/Move/Kinect never existed.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu