| Pok87 said: To end of July Switch sales are 1.8 mln in US, correct? If we look to 3DS sales, then to the end of year we have to pick up this score 3 times. So, by the end of 2017 Switch sales will be around 5-6 mln in US only. Is there a chance for that result? What do you think? |
No, 4.5 million is probably the absolute best we can hope for in the US this year. 3DS production was very high since Nintendo was still under the influence of their massive success in the seventh generation, and they expected the 3DS to sell even better than the DS did in its first year. In March alone, they shipped 1.32 million 3DS systems to the Americas, but it wasn't until September that the 3DS actually passed that amount in the US. The 3DS was massively overproduced and overshipped. It was only thanks to the $80 price cut that Nintendo managed to sell all of the systems they produced that year. On the other hand, Nintendo underestimated initial demand for the Switch, so their production capacity is much lower than actual demand at this point. They can't suddenly ship another 4 million consoles to the Americas from July to December like they did for the 3DS.
