Switch Sales Predictions: Open Your Eyes - UPDATE: Switch LTD Shipments Reach 111.08m by June 30th, Forecast for Current Fiscal Year Remains at 21.0m

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Aeolus451 said:

StarDoor said:

Do you seriously think your prediction of 40 million or less isn't overly pessimistic?

Let's look at the NPD data:

Switch NPD 2017	Monthly	Cumulative	3DS NPD 2011	Monthly	Cumulative	3DS NPD 2012	Monthly	Cumulative	3DS NPD 2013	Monthly	Cumulative
Jan			Jan			Jan	160	160	Jan	281	281
Feb			Feb			Feb	262	422	Feb	191	472
Mar	910	910	Mar	398	398	Mar	200*	622	Mar	230	702
Apr	281	1191	Apr	194	592	Apr	125	747	Apr	115	817
May	165	1356	May	97	689	May	114	861	May	114	931
Jun	216	1572	Jun	143	832	Jun	155	1016	Jun	225	1156
Jul			Jul	90	922	Jul	119*	1135	Jul	150	1306
Aug			Aug	235	1157	Aug	176	1311	Aug	143*	1449
Sep			Sep	260	1417	Sep	273*	1584	Sep	193*	1642
Oct			Oct	250	1667	Oct	232*	1816	Oct	452	2094
Nov			Nov	795	2462	Nov	540	2356	Nov	770	2864
Dec			Dec	1650	4112	Dec	1250	3606	Dec	1100	3964

*VGChartz data was substituted because we didn't get 3DS data from NPD.

In the United States, the Switch is selling much faster than the 3DS ever did. The 3DS will reach 20 million in the US, possibly more.

Now let's look at the Media Create data:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=226216&page=1

In Japan, the Switch is selling on par with the 3DS. The 3DS will reach 24 million in Japan, possibly more.

So Switch can easily hit 40 million in just two countries alone. But you think that 40 million worldwide is reasonable? That's laughable.

Sure, it's pessimistic. I'm a pessimistic person in general. 

Did you read his post? He just gave you a detailed explanation why your prediction is completely unrealistic.

You are not being pessimistic. Just add to the fact that you believe that Nintendo is creating artificial demand, the correct term is "strong denial".