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Green098 on 16 July 2017
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friendlyfamine said:

Green098 said:

Since they just said Pokemon they could be including third verions, which would be pretty accurate. Apart from that though, I don't see what's so far-fetched about these numbers. These are pretty typical numbers for Animal Crossing, Mario Kart, Super Smash Brothers and 2D Mario. All of these sold over 10 million on the 3DS except for Smash Brothers, but Wii U version included it's over 10 million. Zelda is definitely on it's way to doing 10 million, and while 16 million seems to high for Odyssey 10-12 million seems about right. Also if Splatoon can sell almost 5 million on a 13 million install base, 10 million seems likely for the Switch.

"Typical numbers" for a successful console. The Switch hasn't proven to be successful yet- so this is indeed far-fetched for a console only 4 MONTHS old with only 3 months of NPD data. If we get 16 million units sold by March 2018 and the Switch maintains 330k sold weekly, this would be slightly believable. But right now as it stands, Nintendo consoles have not reached those type of numbers. Only their handhelds have- and the Switch is not priced as a handheld console. You've also implied Splatoon will sell near Odyssey, I mean that's just wrong no matter how you look at it.

People are treating this like it's the next DS. Consistent double digit sellers have only occurred on the DS and Wii.

No Zelda game has sold above 10 million also.

Splatoon sold almost practically the same as 3D world so it's not that hard to believe it can't close to those numbers. Beside you say we are treating like this is a DS, I didn't use any DS numbers, I used 3DS numbers. A console doesn't need to sell 100 million+ to get these kind of software numbers. Just because a Zelda game hasn't sold 10 million before doesn't mean this one won't, there hasn't been a Zelda quite like this one, esspecially on something that's also a handheld.