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Onimusha12 said:
This will have a massive launch, but will have virtually no legs given its departure from core (mainstream) gaming into hardcore (niche) gaming

Very true.

I hope the MGS-fans dont draw too many conclusions about long term success even if MGS4 manages to sell 2 million in it's first week.

Sales pattern of MGS4 will be very much like Halo 3's, which saw nearly 50% of it's lifetime sales in the 1st week.