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Lawlight on 12 July 2017
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Nuvendil said:
Lawlight said:

I don't see how you can quantify that the Switch is in higher demand when the PS4 is selling faster this year than any other year. By what metric are you making that claim? Or are you just stating a belief?

Well for one I am not talking about prior months, I am talking more or less about THIS month.  The one this thread is discussing.  Though worth pointing out, PS4 and Switch have split the last 4 months and prior to that...the Switch wasn't launched. 

My basis is that every time stock shows up, it's gone in a flash.  The fact that it is selling competitively on Amazon against he PS4 at $420, 120 over MSRP.  On a global level, PS4 has a strong argument in Europe but in Japan?  They're holding contests to win a chance to purchase the thing, it's selling out even faster than in the States, and Splatoon hype and preorders speak for themselves.

But really, it's that $420 thing that says the most.  The fact the PS4's SKUs struggle to keep up with the Switch SKUs on Amazon despite the PS4 being $260 - $40 off and bundled with a game - while the Switch is $420 - $120 over MSRP and not bundled with anything - is a very clear indicator of the high demand.  If it's matching the PS4 at such an absurd markup, then it is very simple logic to conclude it would very easily pass it.

Will it last?  And for how long?  Don't know.  Will it's demand be this high in the Holidays (proportionately)?  Don't know.  The Switch is hard to predict due to its design but also, obviously, the efect these shortages have on the data.  But I can look at what we have now, and it indicates a very, very strong demand for the Switch that, for the moment, outpaces the PS4. 

Except you don't know how much stock shows up online . It could be a dozen for all we know. And you yourself noted that the Amazon tracking is odd. Yesterday the Switch was #1 at $420 and now at #32 at the same price. Did interest drop a lot overnight? So again. No way to quantity interest in each system.