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I can see PS4 hitting $199 during BF. Whether or not PS will drop the PS4 and/or Pro $50 later in the holiday season to absolutely crush any chance of an XB1 revival with XB1X is really hard to say.

If they price cut this holiday, then next years sales should be slightly less than this year. If they hold the current pricing for the rest of this year, and hit $199 and $299/$349 next year, you will probably see 20M+, 2018 sales.