Mario Odyssey, Breath of the Wild, and Splatoon 2 will all pass 10 million

[DevilRising]

I could possibly see Breath of the Wild getting there. But unless they are bundled for long periods of time with the Switch system itself, I don't see it for Splatoon 2 or even possibly Mario. Perhaps IF the Switch momentum continues for the next several years, and doesn't, let's say, peter out gradually over the next year, then I suppose Mario Odyssey could hit 10 million, as the original Mario Galaxy surpassed 11 million. New Super Mario Bros. and NSMB Wii both sold over 28 million each, but that was largely in part to the novelty at the time of actually being able to play a new 2D Mario again. In the Wii game's case, NSMBWii was the first 2D Mario to hit a home console since, technically, Super Mario World back in 1991, nearly 2 decades. The hype for the franchise had already died down considerably, when Nintendo ignorantly decided to release 3DS and Wii U iterations within mere months from each other in the same year.

In fairness, Mario 3D Land went on to eventually hit 10 million on the 3DS, which did not have its predecessors sales might. So Odyssey could do it. I'm just not going to expect it to. Considering that the "casual" market is still largely gone, on to smartphones or simply disinterested in gaming again, and considering that the Switch literally only launched a few short months ago, I think people should temper their expectations of the console's long-term sales. It may well continue selling like hotcakes for years. But personally, I feel that right now, the system is the "next big thing", the new hotness, and people want one. But that that buzz is also going to eventually die down, and a year or two from now, while perhaps steady, Switch's sales will not keep chugging along like Wii's did. I could be wrong, but that is, as of now, what I foresee happening. Nintendo could certainly assist with that, by dropping 3DS support and treating Switch like the true "One Stop Nintendo Hybrid" platform that it SHOULD be. But they don't seem to be aiming to do that, and that may well, in my opinion, come back to haunt them later on.