PAOerfulone said:
1. Detroit - Just like how Horizon moved a bunch of units. Oh wait... And just like Horizon, it will be extremely frontloaded the first two weeks and then fall off a cliff afterwards. 3. Spider-Man - Is 'wait and see' depending on marketing and quality, so I agree with you there. As far as being the most popular superhero goes, that's another can of worms I don't want to step into, (though he's certainly MY favorite). 4. Elder Scrolls and GTA - Elder Scrolls, sure. GTA - I honestly think Rockstar is saving that one for PS5 and Xbox.... Two.... launch. They saw how much money they made with GTA V by launching it just before the new consoles on the old systems, and then releasing it year later. So, the sales will be huge upon launch, but then it cut off when the newer versions are announced. 5. FIFA, Star Wars, Call of Duty - All of those games sell around the same amount of copies every year. (Infinite Warfare is actually significantly down compared to Black Ops 3. FIFA 16 and 17 actually sold less overall than FIFA 15). And those games come out close to or around the holiday season, where EVERYTHING sells huge numbers. People who wanted the system for those games most likely have already got one and are just patiently waiting for the next one to come out. In FIFA's case, there may very well be a noticeable boost next year because of the World Cup, but after that, there's nomore hardware for FIFA to sell. 6. PS4 Pro - The New 3DS didn't exactly help the 3DS in the long run, the system has still been dropping year over year despite its launch. When the DSi launched in 2009, the DS was STILL down year over year, albeit slightly, compared to 2008, before it started dropping noticeably when the 3DS was announced. The same will exact thing will happen whenver the PS5 is revealed. And the PS4 was down last year compared to 2015 despite not 1, but 2, hardware revisions. Pro will take the PS4's place like you said and keep sales strong, but on the other hand, whose to say the Switch won't get a hardware revision itself. (It's all but guaranteed really). |
1. Horizon wasn't too front loaded. Sold 2.6 million in its first two weeks and another 800k in the next six weeks. that's an average of 200k per week. And recently its sales have spiked tremendously. Even if we take 200k average for the rest of 2017 Horizon will sell another 6.4 million units this year, but with the recent spike in sales and the spike in sales coming with holidays it could sell more. That will be 9.8 million units sold this year which is incredible. And that's not taking into account bundles.
Horizon is selling PS4's. Look at Amazon UK, Horizon is bought with PS4 more than with any game indicating that its selling systems. It definitely is selling systems in India. And could be doing the same in other parts of the world. It may have sold mostly to existing users at launch but the good word of mouth is bringing in new customers to PS4 so they can play Horizon.
Also Horizon is getting a new DLC this holiday and probably a GOTY edition next year which will increase sales further and at its current pace it already looks to sell 9.8 million units this year.
2. God of War on PS4 could be the most successful game in the series. This generation many Sony franchises have seen a growth in sales such as Infamous, Killzone and Uncharted and with the positive recption of God of War at E3 I think it will be one of those franchises.
There are many people that were interested in God of War before but were put off by Kratos and his rage induced murdering of everyone, that are interested in this one. Its not certain but I think it will sell more.
God of War 3 sold 5.2 million units on PS3 in two years and with its amazing legs I think its probably over 6 million on PS3 with a lot more sales on PS4, where its digital sales have been incredible. God of War will sell more if its even nearly as good.
3. Spiderman looks amazing from its E3 gameplay and if that's an indicator of the game's quality I'm sure it will sell well, probably more than any PS4 exclusive. It will benefit both from Spiderman's huge fanbase, his iconic status and people who just want a good Marvel game that is not a fighting game.
4. GTA VI will still sell systems when its released and it will be released on PS4. Elder Scrolls probably won't come this generation or maybe ever, they will keep porting Skyrim to PS5 and Xbox Two then Switch 2 haha.
5. Gran Turismo Sport can sell a lot if Sony actually markets the damn game. Not showing it in their conference was a shitty move.
6. FIFA and Call of Duty will still sell systems whenever they come out and WWII looks o be a bigger success than the last three Call of Duty games.
7. PS4 Pro will sell better next year as more people will have a 4K TV. Its sales depends on the adoption rate of 4K TV's which should increase next year and then people will want to play their PS4 games at a higher resolution.