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Oh what the hell.

500k WW hardware
2m WW software

I am in no way shape or form expecting these numbers in this reality, so I'll do what everyone else does when their unrealistic prediction fails: plead supply constrained.

Over 300k ww hardware and about 1.5m ww software (about 1m on Day 1) is enough to claim success for both Konami and Sony and to punch a big hole in some of the more feeble theories being kicked around to include "everyone who is buying MGS4 already has a PS3" and "MGS4 is only a niche game."