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Soundwave on 29 May 2017
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bdbdbd said:
RolStoppable said:

Then let me reframe my question: Which company do you identify as a threat in case that the 3DS vanishes from the market according to my previously outlined timeline?

Your paragraph about Switch 2 makes me wonder if you've moved on to plain trolling.

Major games for the GBC include Pokémon Silver/Gold/Crystal, The Legend of Zelda: Oracle of Ages and Oracle of Seasons, Wario Land 3, the remasters of Link's Awakening and Tetris, and ports of Super Mario Bros. (including The Lost Levels) and Donkey Kong Country.

Actually, all of the games, sans Pokemon and Wario Land 3, just supports the point I'm making here. The games are ports or made by non-1st party developer. This is excactly what I'm expecting for the future Nintendo-published games for the New 3DS.

Of course Switch 2 wasn't trolling. So far we don't know what Nintendo has in mind for the future. What Iwata talked their plans for the future, it just might very well happen. The model Iwata talked about could very well be a departure from the traditional hardware cycle. The biggest reason for hardware cycle is to sell new games on new hardware, not that different than Hollywood making DVD releases of their VHS releases, BD releases of their DVD releases, followed by 4K releases of their HD releases. And so on.

I don't know which company would be a threat, it could be any. The reason why Nintendo's been unbeatable in handhelds is because they've always cared about the low end. If we go by what can be seen in advance, Wii never happened. It's not an issue if Switch can hit 200 by 2019, the issue is if it can hit 100 by 2019. If it can't I don't see 3DS going away (if it still sells games).

I agree with you. Switch will have a new hardware model for upgrades, not tied to a model born in the 1970s/80s, but something applicable to today and modern mobile technology. 

Switch has broken most every other hardware rule anyway, might as well also break that one. 

3DS will go away in a couple of years though IMO, the current Switch die shrunk to 16nm (Tegra X2) will take over the lower price position, a new Switch will come out around 2020 that will reoccupy the $300 price point. 

I think the Switch-3DS duo kinda shows how Nintendo will do business in the future. One higher end model at a higher price/profit margin, and a cheaper model for the low end of the market with more frequent model upgrades to keep the ecosystem fresh and people rebuying into hardware. 

Even though 3DS will probably go away, to be honest I don't really think it would be all that bad if Nintendo just kept selling it even without new software. The 3DS and DS have like what? 2000 games between them? Just offer that stuff through the eShop.