80+ Million Switches Need to be Sold in 5 Years or it's a Failure

[Cerebralbore101]

This thread reeks of Micheal Pachter levels of clueless bean counting.

"The combined sales of Wii U + PS4 + XB1 are less than the combined sales of 360 + PS3 + Wii. Therefore the console market is shrinking!"

Except the Wii U didn't sell nearly as many units as the Wii, and a lot of people last gen owned multiple systems. PS4 plays the majority of compelling games this gen, while Wii U and XB1 are largely redundant. PS4 has been hugely successful this gen. It's like comparing two farmers, one that is going out of business and one that has drastically increased his sales, and concluding that all farms are doomed, because the sum number of crops sold is smaller than last year.

TL/DR? Bean counters confuse the failures of two consoles makers with the failure of the industry as a whole.

What does this have to do with Switch sales? Well the bean counters once again want to ignore the intricacies of the industry and claim that X is doomed. Nevermind that most Wii U owners also have a 3DS. Nevermind that a lot of 3DS owners bought two models of the same system and that is unlikely with the Switch. Nevermind that the 3DS hasn't been discontinued yet, and will be selling alongside the Switch. Nevermind that the 3DS has a low software attach rate, but the Switch has a huge attach rate of games and accessories. Nevermind that the Switch is sold at a profit and the 3DS was sold at a loss.

At the end of the day the only thing that matters is that Nintendo has drastically more money five years from now than they did before the Switch. That's it. That's the sole measure of success for any business.