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The Switch is going to sell more than 80m units. It's funny how people are always stuck in the past. When Nintendo revealed the horrible 3DS and Wii U concept everyone was like "oh, the Wii and DS sold great. These will sell well, too." And now people can't believe Nintendo has another hit product.

I highly recommend Daniel Kahneman's book "Thinking, fast and slow" to everyone who falls for this trap. It's a basic flaw of the human mind: We tend to substitute easier questions for hard ones. Instead of answering the question "how much is the Switch gonna sell?" (which is based on many factors) we substitute "how much did the 3DS and Wii U sell?" and use that as an anchor.