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StarDoor on 10 May 2017
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DialgaMarine said:
Switch seems to definitely be on a decline, with its sales slowly leveling out. It'll have maybe another week ahead of PS4 for worldwide, and a month more if better sales in US. Once the dust settles for MK8 and Splatoon 2, summer I think is going to be a heavy sales slump for Switch, and fall through the holidays will be total PS4 domination.
DialgaMarine said:
StarDoor said:

How can it be catching up if it's selling fewer units?

 I think he means that the amount Switch is outselling PS4 by is shrinking. Switch will continue to outsell PS4 for long. In fact, seeing as were a third of the way through May, most likely PS4 started outselling Switch WW at least 3 weeks ago. 

But that's a ridiculous statement. The PS4 already outsold the Switch in its 2nd and 3rd weeks, after which the Switch started selling more. If anything, it's the Switch that caught up, not the PS4.

This thread is for the week ending April 1st, in which the Switch sold 278k. But the Switch sold less in both its second and third weeks (235k and 237k). The only "decline" is from its fourth week to its fifth week. Essentially, you're saying that the Switch is "on a decline" because of a single week of sales, and this week (April 1st) that you're proclaiming decline from (278k) is still much higher than the other two weeks.

Furthermore, the PS4 usually sees a significant drop in sales during April, so for your prediction to be true, the Switch must have a baseline somewhere below 180k during April.

http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/hw_yoy.php?reg=Global&start_year=2014&end_year=2017&console=PS4

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/42470/Global/

Of course, we actually have data all throughout April for the Switch in Japan, which shows that there has been no drop-off in sales at all. The week ending April 2nd (45.5k) is actually lower than the week ending May 7th (47.9k).

The Switch sold 278.4k worldwide in the week ending April 1st. So you must expect the Switch to have a heavy decline in the rest of the world, even though there's been no decline in Japan at all.

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=226216&page=1

In addition, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe released at the end of April. Even if the Switch started having lower weeks, which is already unlikely from Japan's data, it's undoubtedly above the PS4 for the week ending April 29th; it's certainly not continuous, like you're stated.