Nintendo has a realistic shot at returning to #1 this fiscal year - RESULT: Nintendo back on top (21.45m), Sony second (19m+)

[Louie]

I agree, the Switch forecast for this fiscal year seems very conservative to me. Nintendo didn't want to repeat the mistakes from the Wii U generation when they had to lower their forecasts all the time. I'm not sure how much they'll sell but there's a very high chance they'll beat their target.