Switch is a very different system with very different demographic appeal than the Wii did, I think that's the danger in comparing the two too directly.
Not saying Switch can't hit 100+ million or 150 million or 70 million or whatever. But these are very different systems.
You have to consider even though 1,2 Switch is selling ok, it has probably a 30% attach rate, which means 70% of Switch owners are not buying it. And Just Dance looks like it's selling like crap. So the majority of Switch buyers are choosing not to buy either one of the two motion-only based games, whereas Wii was centrally driven by motion based games. By Nintendo's own metrics the audience is 90% male and over the age of 16, this is likely radically different from the Wii as well.
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