2017 French Election (Macron Wins 66%)

[Barozi]

Mnementh said:

Barozi said:

Fillon is center-right, Melenchon is left and Hamon (who got 6%) is center-left, Dupont-Aignan (who got nearly 5%) is right as far as I can tell.

So basically Macron will a huge majority of Melenchon voters, nearly all Hamon voters and the majority of Fillon voters.
Le Pen will get a decent slice of Fillon voters and a huge majority of Dupont-Aignan voters.

At least that is what should happen, if I put the politicians in their right camps.

Usually things are more complicated than a simple left-right-scheme shows. For many, especially in the Melencon-camp, both candidates are unelectable.

and yet the lightning poll a few posts above shows that 62% of Melenchon voters would vote for Macron in the second round and only 9% for Le Pen, while 29% are still undecided. Even if from all these other camps 50% will vote for the Le Pen and this is already very very very unlikely, he would still win as he already won the first round.