Predict Switch's First Year Sales

[Cerebralbore101]

zorg1000 said:

Cerebralbore101 said:

Oh yeah that's right. That's still a seven month gap between launch and any big games though. The same thing happened with the Wii U. It launched with NSMBU and then didn't get much of anything until Pikmin 3.

Switch on the other hand is launching with a beloved game, and will have at least 4 good games by year's end.

yep, 3DS & Wii U both had terrible post launch droughts while Switch has a steady flow when it comes to 1st party games.

 

3DS

March-Nintendogs+Cats, Steel Diver, Pilotwings Resort

June-Ocarina of Time 3D

September-Star Fox 64 3D

October-Pokemon Rumble Blast

November-Super Mario 3D Land

December-Mario Kart 7

 

Wii U

November-New Super Mario Bros U, Nintendo Land

June-Game & Wario

August-Pikmin 3

September-Wind Waker HD

October-Wii Party U

November-Super Mario 3D World

 

Switch

March-Breath of the Wild, 1 2 Switch

April-Mario Kart 8 Deluxe

June-ARMS

July-Splatoon 2

Autumn-Fire Emblem Warriors (likely Sept)

Holiday-Super Mario Odyssey (likely Nov)

2017-Xenoblade Chronicles 2

 

I could very well see Xenoblade getting delayed but Nintendo likely has at least 1 surprise for this holiday to announce at E3 (Smash Bros Deluxe?) so they cancel each other out. The overall quantity is pretty much the same between the 3 but Switch has far better pacing and arguably bigger titles.

Not to mention all the little downloadable games they are peppering the console with over the next few months. The real question is, can Nintendo keep this pace up for 4-5 years? Or will they run out of steam in 3 years like they did with the Wii?

6 Month long game droughts are just unacceptable. Hopefully the merger between handheld, and console branches has erased that issue.