Predict Switch's First Year Sales

[zorg1000]

Cerebralbore101 said:

p0isonparadise said:

I think you forgot about MK7 and Mario 3D Land were relased during the holidays in 2011. 

Oh yeah that's right. That's still a seven month gap between launch and any big games though. The same thing happened with the Wii U. It launched with NSMBU and then didn't get much of anything until Pikmin 3.

Switch on the other hand is launching with a beloved game, and will have at least 4 good games by year's end.

yep, 3DS & Wii U both had terrible post launch droughts while Switch has a steady flow when it comes to 1st party games.

 

3DS

March-Nintendogs+Cats, Steel Diver, Pilotwings Resort

June-Ocarina of Time 3D

September-Star Fox 64 3D

October-Pokemon Rumble Blast

November-Super Mario 3D Land

December-Mario Kart 7

 

Wii U

November-New Super Mario Bros U, Nintendo Land

June-Game & Wario

August-Pikmin 3

September-Wind Waker HD

October-Wii Party U

November-Super Mario 3D World

 

Switch

March-Breath of the Wild, 1 2 Switch

April-Mario Kart 8 Deluxe

June-ARMS

July-Splatoon 2

Autumn-Fire Emblem Warriors (likely Sept)

Holiday-Super Mario Odyssey (likely Nov)

2017-Xenoblade Chronicles 2

 

I could very well see Xenoblade getting delayed but Nintendo likely has at least 1 surprise for this holiday to announce at E3 (Smash Bros Deluxe?) so they cancel each other out. The overall quantity is pretty much the same between the 3 but Switch has far better pacing and arguably bigger titles.