The price is the biggest threat I see to the Switch's sales this year (pretty much everything else, IMO, has been on-point and executed well). Unless, Nintendo does a price drop (at least $50 but more ideally $70-$100; or perhaps both with the $250 coming bundled with something) I, personally, have a difficult time seeing it be competitive against XOne S and PS4 Slim come this Holiday season.
Until we get a more clear post-launch baseline, I am going to be super-conservative and say 5.5 million. I am pretty sure I will revise this later (hopefully significantly upwards), but I do not feel like launch data is the best source to make bold predictions, so I am going to play it safe for now.







