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Helloplite said:

You kind of undermined your own argument with the whole "we can't be sure" angle, but yes. If it did similar to Wii U it would be a death knell for Nintendo. Luckily we live in the real world, and Nintendo always knows how to survive and remain pioneers in the industry - even if not always winning it. They have thought about all of this. They will still play it safe and keep the warchest for even more rainy days, but they have seen their failings and I am very eager to see how they handle the Switch line of products. They will improve from last generation in total. Zelda alone is proof they are dead serious and not to be scoffed at. Let's see how they keep up the momentum at E3. That will clarify lots of things about whether Nintendo has intent or is just sleepwalking.

Bolded part: you have a point. Even if a console had the worst launch of all time, it could still manage to succeed.

I just believe that it's to early to predict. It's doing great, but it could lose steam. Or it could keep up and sell like the Wii. The only prediction I feel confortable right now is saying that it will outsell the GC. The rest, only in 2018.