By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Soundwave on 28 March 2017
Edit Thread
Shadow1980 said:
Soundwave said:

If Switch is selling 300-400k in June/July NPD after a big restock in April, then sure something is definitely happening. If it doesn't well then probably .... not I guess. We will just have to wait and see. 

I don't think Switch is a Wii though, you would have much, much, much more buzz/craziness, social media hype on 1,2 Switch if it was taking off like the Wii and Wii Sports did. 

I suspect 1, 2 Switch will do OK largely because it's basically the only other retail game that has any kind of push behind it (zero competetion until Mario Kart really) and some people like more than just 1 game. It was kinda like the N64, many of its initial games sold over a million copies with ease, but there wasn't much else to choose from.

I wasn't necessarily thinking the Switch will post Wii numbers. However, it could still be getting good numbers despite the stock issues. If it can hold a baseline of 200-250k per month through October, that ought to be a good start.

And speaking of the N64, it didn't have a whole lot its first few months. It had Super Mario 64 and Pilotwings 64 and nothing else on day one, and it got Killer Instinct Gold, Shadows of the Empire, and Wave Race 64 later in the year. The first half of 1997 had Mario Kart 64, Turok, Doom 64, and Blast Corp. Yet despite the relative paucity of major titles early in its life, the N64 was at the time the fastest-selling system ever in the U.S. The Switch doesn't have a whole lot of gee-whiz-must-have titles in its first 10 months, either—there's MK8Dx next month, Splatoon 2 in the summer, and Mario Odyssey in the fall, plus whatever big surprises they're saving to announce at E3—but if they can keep up with the marketing and keep a decent stock, the Switch could retain good momentum.

Super Mario 64, Pilotwings 64, Wave Race 64, Star Wars: SOTE, Killer Instinct, Mario Kart 64, Turok, and Blast Corps in a console's first six months is actually quite impressive. 

N64 would've crushed 65-70 mill IMO if Nintendo not been stupid and allowed at least the option for CD games as well as cartridge (Saturn did this).