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celador on 20 March 2017
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BraLoD said:
celador said:
I just can't see any way Scorpio changes things in a significant way after the first two months. MS's biggest problem is lack of meaningful exclusives, and even with extra power, I don't see why it would do much better than Pro has. I mean, Xbox might win more months for the rest of the gen, maybe even more than PS4, but it won't be by much and it won't change anything outside US. Maybe UK, but the gap is bigger here already

Well, things happen, if MS is working on buying a lot of exclusives and using that extra power to promote them, they could work out a good install base, if they keep a decent price point, that is, anything over $500 just won't work at all, $500 is already high for as it's stronger than the Pro, maybe they can get away with it, though matching the Pro price should be the best way to go (more power for the same money will get a good visibility).

Personally, if it's not really a new console, and will be a XBO Pro, it'll probably lack the means to get much from the PS4, as the install base is way higher and very attractive, if the games can run on the XBO, they can on the PS4, so I agree that getting meaningful exclusives will be hard.
If it's an entire new system, which I though it would be, but apparently it isn't, it can use the power gap between it and the base PS4 as the excuse to keep exclusivity, build games that would get too much compromissed on the PS4 hardware and so avoid it.

With the Pro, Sony has secured a good ground, it'll probably be able to match the Scorpio at a close level the same way the XBO does the PS4, so there won't be a huge gap and as games will still be running on the PS4 and XBO, probably even less, so if the Scorpio is a XBO Pro, it shouldn't change things much, indeed, while if it is a new system, scrapping the XBO so soon would be bad for the brand image and could get people away from it. And if the Scorpio does turn to be a big hit, the PS4 will still have a good base like the PS3 (worst case scenario, there is no way the XBO will top the PS4), Sony just have to wait a bit and drop the PS5 next year.

To me, if it was a proper new system, as in generational, it would have exclusives, which MS said it won't have. They might change that in a couple of years, but like you said, by then PS5 will release and be more powerful anyway.

As for Xbox exclusives launching around the system, I don't see them being able to buy anything truly significant. More stuff on the level of Dead Rising 4 will do absolutely nothing. And they certainly don't seem to be making anything themselves. They don't even have a Gears or Halo to help show off the Scorpio this year. And even with a power gap, absolutely no one is going to abandon the PS4 because the Scorpio has a lot more power, it is just too big of an install base to miss out on.

Just seems to me that MS is fixated on the power issue without realising that the problems run deeper than that right now. X1 has done pretty well overall, but I imagine that the 360 is pacing ahead in terms of launch aligned by now, and I just can't imagine X1 getting much over 50m. I think this will be it's peak year.