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I think it will be holiday 2019. Three years for the mid gen upgrade, three years for the next generational leap. Would also fit in nicely with their dev cycles. GG can lay the groundwork for Horizon 2 to be on PS5 in 2020, Bend will transition after Days Gone, Santa Monica after God of War (which will hopefully mean at least two releases on PS5). I also think one of Last of Us II or Death Stranding will be a cross gen game at PS5 launch.