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Splatoon sold 4.5 million on a console that is way less popular, so it's not impossible.
It's still rather unlikely though.

 

Nirvana_Nut85 said:
Not unless it's bundled as heavily as Uncharted 4 was, I cannot see it selling that much. 3.5-4 million sounds about right.

Indeed. Uncharted kept on selling because of the bundle. By the end of August, it only sold 4 million, now it's over 8 million.