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It may sell more on Wii U in the first month or two, if there really only 2mm Switches available. But, it will certainly sell more on the Switch in the long run.

I would think that 90% of the WiiU sales will happen within a month or two if launch. Those are the people who have been waiting for the game, but either don't want, or can't get a Switch at launch. I think there could be a couple million of these people. I may well be one of them.

Essentially everyone (probably 95%) that buys a Switch near launch will be buying this game. Even so, if the install base is only 2mm, that means only 1.9mm copies of BotW on Switch at that point.

In the longer term though, it seems reasonable you expect the game to sell well on Switch at least through holiday 2017, when the install base should grow substantially. This means far more sales on the Switch overall.