bonzobanana said:
I don't think many are making that mistake. Nintendo are promoting Switch as a home console but really it is a portable so if anyone is doing that it is with 3DS not wii u. The reason many people are predicting Switch failure is the product itself, what its capable of, what games are going to be available and its value. It just isn't very good and relies on loyalty of the Nintendo fanbase to make a sale which are limited in number. We shall see though, sometimes Nintendo pull out a X factor that can sell a poor product at an inflated price but I personally think the odds are stacked against it. |
I think most people make that mistake. We had a thread here on VGChartz and I think 25% of people voted the Switch would sell less than 20m units. Anchoring effects are really interesting and they happen unconsciously all the time. If you ask people a question while spinning a random "wheel of fortune" they'll use the number the wheel shows as an anchor to answer whatever question you just asked them (I'm not even kidding, it's so much fun to use people as guinea pigs for this stuff! lol)
Bolded: That's my point actually. The Switch (as a motion control and hybrid device) is in some way a disruptive product, a "crappy product for crappy costumers". You just gave the textbook definition basically. Core gamers wonder "what's the appeal of this console?" because core gamers demand better technology. Nintendo is an integrated company though, they sell when they concentrate on technology that isn't yet "good enough", which is exactly what the Switch is. I totally understand why core gamers don't see the value of the Switch! But those people who bought a Wii (another console core gamers didn't value) are very interested in the Switch: They want local multiplayer, mass market games, don't care about graphics and want an inviting looking console.
Oh and I don't claim the Switch is definitely going to sell well by the way. Nintendo screwed up so royally with the Wii U and 3DS I can totally see them screwing this up again somehow. I'm just saying it's possible. It's a personal thing for me: I was a big fan of the Wii and then Nintendo just stopped serving me and my friends as customers (we regularly had gaming sessions with up to 10 people during the Wii days, with lots of girls and casual gamers playing together with the more experienced gamers of our group). I love my PS4 Slim and my Vita because they serve a different puropse but I dislike the Wii U and hardly ever play games on it. So me coming back to this forum after years of absence just shows you the Wii crowd is still alive and wants another console. The question is: Can Nintendo deliver? Can they regain the trust of the Wii customers after the Wii U? The jury is still out on that one.
